Guide to 2024 Brownlow Medal Betting
What is the Brownlow Medal Awarded For?
The Brownlow Medal is the highest individual honour in the Australian Football League (AFL) and constitutes some of the most exciting AFL betting options. It’s awarded to the fairest and best player during the regular season. Named after Charles Brownlow, a former Geelong Football Club player and administrator, the award holds immense prestige.
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The medal is decided by field umpires, who vote after each game. They give three votes to the player they believe was best on the ground and two votes for the second-best. The third-best player gets one vote. This process ensures that the winner is someone who consistently excels throughout the season.
We don’t know precisely when Brownlow Medal betting first became a thing, but there’s no doubt about its popularity with Australian bettors these days! Did you know that the medal is named after Geelong player Charles Brownlow? That’s why it’s called the Charlie!
If you’re still at odds and ends about wagering on this prestigious award, you’ve come to the right place. We research and provide expert insights on all things related to Australian sports betting, so you don’t have to. Let’s dive in!
How Do the Brownlow Projections Work?
Australian Football League pundits who have looked at tens of thousands of simulations based on statistics of the relevant games before applying their own knowledge of the sport make predictions. Many simulations are run to test the accuracy of AFL Brownlow odds before the betting public has a chance to view them.
Brownlow Medal Betting Markets in 2024
Choose a bookmaker that caters for the discerning Aussie wagerer from the list of top sportsbooks our experts have investigated and ended up reviewing positively. You’ll be able to choose from many markets, including Halfway Leader, Place, Quinella, Top 5 Finish, Top Team Votes, Top Three Places, and Win. We’ve found that Ladbrokes Australia often has some of the best odds and offers available, but it’s up to you!
2024 AFL Brownlow Medal Odds
Brownlow Medal betting odds change often, however. Keep an eye on them at top-rated bookmakers reviewed at our Australian Sports Betting site and you can relax knowing you’re getting access to many markets, the best prices, and fair dealings 100% of the time.
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In the 2024 Brownlow Medal race, Nick Daicos and Patrick Cripps lead with odds of $2.50. Daicos stands out due to his precision kicking and vision. Cripps, with his strong contested play, remains a consistent favourite after his 2022 win. Meanwhile, Lachie Neale, with odds of $9.00, remains a contender thanks to his dual Brownlow wins and ball-winning ability.
At $15.00, Marcus Bontempelli impresses with his leadership and his ability to influence games both offensively and defensively. Bettors view Caleb Serong and Zach Merrett as valuable bets, with both players sitting at $26.00. Serong shines with his tackling and clearance work, while Merrett excels in disposals for Essendon.
Several dark horses could surprise bettors in the 2024 Brownlow Medal race. Errol Gulden, with odds at $51.00, has impressed Sydney with his creativity and ball use, making him a potential standout.
With odds at $67.00, Tom Green is attracting attention for his strongly contested ball work with the GWS Giants and may rise as the season progresses. Zak Butters, at $81.00, had an outstanding 2023 season for Port Adelaide and could carry that form into 2024. Another potential surprise is Jason Horne-Francis, also at $101.00, who has the talent and athleticism to emerge as a contender if his form improves throughout the season. While these players aren’t among the top favourites, a strong individual season combined with team success could push them into the Brownlow conversation.
Late-season form can sway voters, making a player’s finish critical for their chances. Keep an eye on performances during key matches, as these can heavily impact voting trends.
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When interpreting these odds, it’s important to consider the consistency of a player’s performances. You also need to look at their ability to accumulate votes in winning matches and their overall influence on games. Factors like injuries, team performance, and even upcoming fixtures can shift these odds as the season progresses. For bettors, staying updated on player form and team dynamics is crucial. This is because these can dramatically influence the odds and, ultimately, the outcome of the Brownlow Medal race.
To gain an edge, consider the potential for tactical votes in critical matches. Also, look at how a player’s role might evolve as the season intensifies. Monitoring these variables can help you spot emerging value in the odds. This will open up strategic betting opportunities for you as the Brownlow race heats up.
Brownlow Medal Winners Up to 2023
The Brownlow Medal has a rich history, with recent years showcasing some of the AFL’s finest talent. From 2019 to 2023, the award has been claimed by a diverse group of players, each leaving their mark on the game.
In 2019, Nat Fyfe secured his second Brownlow Medal, further solidifying his status as one of the league’s elite. Lachie Neale followed in 2020, winning his first medal after a dominant season with Brisbane. Ollie Wines then took home the honour in 2021, becoming Port Adelaide’s first-ever Brownlow Medallist. Patrick Cripps claimed the 2022 award, capping off a stellar season for Carlton. Most recently, in 2023, Lachie Neale won his second Brownlow Medal, joining an exclusive group of multiple winners.
| WINNER | YEAR |
|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | 2023 |
| Patric Cripps | 2022 |
| Ollie Wines | 2021 |
| Lachie Neale | 2020 |
| Nat Fyfe | 2019 |
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Historically, the Brownlow Medal has seen some of the game’s greatest players rise to the top. Legends like Gary Ablett Jr., who won in 2009 and 2013, and Chris Judd, who earned the medal in 2004 and 2010, have set a high benchmark for excellence. These players not only excelled individually but often led their teams to success during their winning seasons.
Performance trends among Brownlow winners often highlight the dominance of midfielders, who are regularly involved in key plays and can accumulate votes consistently. Additionally, players from successful clubs tend to fare well, as team success often amplifies individual brilliance. As the competition evolves, these trends continue to shape the profile of potential Brownlow Medallists.
Outlook for the 2024 Brownlow Medal
As the 2024 AFL season unfolds, the Brownlow Medal race is shaping up to be highly competitive, with several top contenders showcasing their talents.
Marcus Bontempelli has been in sensational form for the Western Bulldogs, consistently leading his team with powerful performances. His ability to dominate midfield battles and impact the scoreboard keeps him firmly in the mix.
Nick Daicos, the young sensation from Collingwood, has continued his meteoric rise, displaying maturity beyond his years. His precision and decision-making have made him one of the most influential players this season, placing him among the top favourites.
Christian Petracca’s dynamic play for Melbourne also keeps him in contention, especially given his versatility in both midfield and forward roles. His ability to change the course of a game makes him a strong candidate as the season progresses.
Several key factors could influence the outcome of the 2024 Brownlow Medal. Injuries will play a significant role, as seen with Lachie Neale, who has had a few niggles throughout the season that may hinder his ability to gather consistent votes. Team performance is another crucial factor, as players from winning teams are more likely to attract votes. Additionally, upcoming fixtures against weaker opponents could allow top contenders to rack up votes.
Looking ahead, Marcus Bontempelli and Nick Daicos are likely to maintain their lead but don’t overlook players like Christian Petracca, who could surge late in the season. Caleb Serong is also one to watch, as his consistent performances for Fremantle might see him make a strong finish.
Among the emerging players, Connor Rozee of Port Adelaide has shown flashes of brilliance, and if he continues his upward trajectory, he could become a serious contender. Similarly, Jordan Dawson’s impressive displays for Adelaide have made him a dark horse in this year’s race.