State Of Origin Betting Guide 2024

State of Origin is an annual series that takes place in Australia. It’s played between the Queensland and New South Wales rugby league teams and is an annual best-of-three rugby league series. It’s one of the most popular sporting events in the country and State of Origin betting has become a popular pastime. In fact, it’s a go-to for many bettors throughout Australia, and it’s a type of wagering that’s worth diving into if you want to make the most of what rugby league betting has to offer.

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How State Of Origin Works

State of Origin represents the end of a long season of fierce competition. Queensland and New South Wales rugby league teams try their best to get into the State of Origin series, often battling it out to the bitter end. The tournament consists of a three-game battle played out between two groups who have made it through after defeating all others in their class.

Anyone participating in the State of Origin series needs to be able to play on the level of an international professional. Australian states also jump into the competition and whoever is able to win all three games will be declared the winner. It’s a matter of pride for Queenslanders and NSW punters, and all are pushing for their side to take home the trophy.

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State of Origin Betting Markets Explained

When it comes to winning money from Australian sports betting, State of Origin betting is a fantastic choice. It provides a great selection of markets and wagers to choose from. The betting market is strong, and you will find that there are many online bookies offering State of Origin odds.

Let’s explore the most popular types of bets that are available for this amazing Australian rugby series:

  • Series Winner. Betting on the series winner involves predicting which team will win the entire series. For example, in the State of Origin, you might bet on Queensland or New South Wales to win the best-of-three series.
  • Series Correct Score. This market involves predicting the exact score of the series, such as 2-1 or 3-0. For instance, you could bet on Queensland to win the series 2-1.
  • Head-to-Head. Head-to-head betting is about picking the winner of a single match. For example, you might bet on New South Wales to win Game 1.
  • Line Betting (Handicap). Line betting involves giving one team a virtual advantage or disadvantage on the playing field. For instance, if Queensland has a -6.5 line, they must win by more than 6.5 points for your bet to win.
  • Margin. Margin betting involves predicting the winning margin. You might bet on New South Wales to win by 1–12 points.
  • First Try-scorer. This market involves betting on which player will score the first try in a match. For example, you could bet on Jake Trbojevic to score first.

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When it comes to choosing the right betting market, follow these tips:

  • Study team performance, player form, injuries, and historical data.
  • Know how odds work and what they represent in terms of probability and potential payout.
  • Choose markets you understand well and have researched thoroughly.
  • Spread your bets across different markets to manage risk.

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State Of Origin Winners

Knowing past winners is powerful knowledge that every bettor should use. It gives you a great idea of what to expect from the teams as they begin to get ready to participate and it makes a huge difference to the overall success rates of your bets. This is why it’s a good idea to have an idea of which teams did well in previous events. Take a look at this table before you make your next winning bet!

WINNERYEAR
New South Wales2021
Queensland2020
New South Wales2019
New South Wales2018
Queensland2017

Key Factors To Consider When Placing A Bet On State of Origin

  • Team Form: This is a breakdown of how cohesive the team is when playing together. It’s an important factor to always keep in mind when making a bet.
  • Player Injuries: Players will become injured at one point or another. If a player has a severe leg injury, there’s a good chance that they may not do well on the field. So, keep a close eye on the player records and see if there have been any recent injuries.
  • Historical Performance in State of Origin Matches: Knowing the winners of previous events is extremely important to find more success with State of Origin betting. You will quickly find that favourites and underdogs will heavily influence the State of Origin odds.
  • Home-Ground Advantage: It’s well-known that playing at home provides a solid advantage to the home team. Many bookies will calculate that the home team is the favourite to win an event.

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State of Origin Betting Tips To Know Before You Bet

The following tips are going to help you make better decisions when you enjoy State of Origin betting.

  • Research and Analysis: Make sure to do the proper research on events and teams before putting any money down.
  • Set A Budget: After all the research is done, it’s time to draw up a budget. In doing so, you’ll ensure that you don’t go into the red, and won’t spend what you can’t afford to lose.
  • Shop For Odds: There will always be different odds on offer at various bookmakers. Every bookie will feature State of Origin markets that differ slightly, although for the favorite odds may be the same or similar. Shopping around for odds gives you the best chance of finishing the most rewarding ones.
  • Consider Live Betting: Another way to enjoy State of Origin is by betting live. Live or in-play betting allows you to bet on events as they’re taking place. With a mobile device, it’s even to get your bets in while the action unfolds and to get up-to-the-minute odds. Plus, it means you never miss out on a wager.

Detailed Analysis of Teams

Queensland

Strengths

Queensland’s strengths lie in their resilience and ability to perform under pressure. Historically, they have had a strong winning culture, having dominated much of the past decade. Key players such as Tate McDermott and Liam Wright bring exceptional skills to the team.

Weaknesses

Queensland’s weaknesses often include inconsistency in its backline and occasional lapses in defence. While its forward pack is strong, it sometimes struggles against the speed and agility of New South Wales’ backs.

Past Performances and Current Form

Queensland has a history of bouncing back from defeats, showcasing a never-say-die attitude. Recent performances have been inconsistent, with flashes of brilliance tempering them. Expert opinions suggest that if they can harness their resilience and improve their defensive coordination, they stand a strong chance in the series.

New South Wales

Strengths

New South Wales boasts a robust squad with depth in talent. Their strength lies in their dynamic backline, featuring players like Jake Trbojevic and Indie Bostock.

Weaknesses

A notable weakness for New South Wales is their occasional lack of cohesion, particularly when under intense pressure. While individually talented, the team sometimes struggles with maintaining consistent performance across the series.

Past Performances and Current Form

New South Wales has had a roller-coaster ride in recent series, with strong performances followed by unexpected losses. Their current form suggests they are in a rebuilding phase, integrating new talents while relying on experienced players to guide them. Experts believe that if they can maintain their composure and improve their defensive strategies, they could turn the tide in their favour.

Statistics from recent series highlight Queensland’s dominance in tight matches. They’ve won 44.8% of their matches, often winning by narrow margins due to their clutch performance in critical moments. Conversely, New South Wales tends to secure more decisive victories when they win, with a victory percentage of 57%, showcasing their attacking prowess.

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Player Profiles and Impact

Queensland’s Tate McDermott

Career Highlights

Tate McDermott has emerged as one of Queensland’s most dynamic halfbacks. He has been instrumental for the Queensland Reds in Super Rugby, known for his quick decision-making, explosive speed, and ability to break through defensive lines. His performance earned him a spot in the Wallabies squad, where he continued to impress on the international stage.

Current Form

McDermott is in stellar form, showcasing consistent performances in the recent Super Rugby season. His agility and vision have been crucial in orchestrating Queensland’s attacking plays.

Potential Impact

McDermott’s ability to control the tempo of the game and his knack for creating scoring opportunities make him a vital player for Queensland. His performance will be pivotal in breaking through New South Wales’ defence.

“With 2027 in mind, ‘Tough little bugger’ Tate McDermott is the best pick for Wallabies captain.” – New South Wales’ Jake Trbojevic

Career Highlights

Jake Trbojevic is one of New South Wales’ most reliable forwards. With a reputation for his tireless work rate, strong tackling, and ball-handling skills, he has been a cornerstone for the Manly Sea Eagles and the New South Wales team.

Current Form

Trbojevic continues to perform at a high level, consistently delivering strong defensive performances and contributing significantly in attack.

Potential Impact

Trbojevic’s ability to dominate in defence and support the attack makes him an invaluable asset. His leadership on the field can provide stability and confidence for the team.

“You can’t ask for much more than when Jake talks about the jersey and the passion that he has for it.”  — Coach Michael Maguire

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These key players will likely have a significant impact on the State of Origin series. Their current form, combined with their unique skills and leadership, will be crucial in determining the outcome of the matches. Both teams will rely heavily on these stars to deliver standout performances and lead their sides to victory.

State of Origin Betting FAQ

What Is State Of Origin?

A three-part national rugby league (NRL) event that takes place in Australia every year.

Which team has the best overall record in State of Origin history?

Queensland is widely considered to be the best team in the history of the event.

Which player has scored the most tries in State of Origin history?

Darius Boyd of Queensland currently holds the record.

Who is the favourite to win State of Origin 2024?

The NSW Blues are the favourites to win the 2024 iteration of the event.

 

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