Grand Dreamer’s Ballarat Cup Win Betting Lesson
Coming in at $7.50 at the jump-off, and no doubt more for punters who got their bets in earlier, Grand Dreamer gave everyone a nice surprise at Dowling Forest to win the Ballarat Cup. Everyone except trainer Robert Smerdon, perhaps: when the rain set in early in the day and the track condition slipped from a good 4 to a heavy 8, he would have known the seven-year-old gelding was up for it.
In any event, Grand Dreamer and jockey Patrick Moloney survived a breakneck pace set by Big Blue, topping a long, conservative slog with an unstoppable surge from fourth in the final 800m of the 2200m feature race. Oncidium Ruler finished second and Grey Lion third. It was Smerdon’s second Ballarat Cup; he trained 1996 winner McGuane as well.
Apart from being an interesting upset for country racing fans, however, Grand Dreamer’s win highlights a positive of online sports betting that benefits punters who learn how to make the best use of modern tech.
Real-Time Information Changes The Game
Time was, to do justice to all the variables, serious punters would have to be in a betting shop or at the track on race day, checking form guides, the weather, and the latest news on injuries and ailments.
Your average Joe taking a weekly punt for fun didn’t have time for that; it was pick a fancy, buy a ticket and hope.
The beauty of sports betting sites on your phone, tablet or laptop, is the ability they give you to update your information and refine your betting right up until bets close.
A Glance at Grand Dreamer’s Stats Enough
For example, at the Ballarat Cup, punters checking weather apps on their devices would have known the weather was closing in. Every horse in the race is listed on racing betting sites such as Luxbet, giving a full breakdown of their stats throughout their careers.
Punters looking for a horse proven under heavy turf conditions would have noticed Grand Dreamer immediately. His career record is a middling 39: 9-10-6, but his record in soft going is 9: 3-3-2 and on heavy tracks 6: 3-2-1. As the Dowling Forest weather worsened, he was an obvious choice, at attractive odds.